Economic Archive

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  VAR - Models of Shocks in the Business Cycles of Final Consumption Expenditure of Households

  Abstract: The article has experimented with a methodology for using vector autoregressive models (VAR) to study the impact of shocks in the business climate and economic activity on the business cycles of final con-sumption expenditure of households. It refers to six countries in Central and Eastern Europe (Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Hungary, ... Abstract: The article has experimented with a methodology for using vector autoregressive models (VAR) to study the impact of shocks in the business climate and economic activity on the business cycles of final con-sumption expenditure of households. It refers to six countries in Central and Eastern Europe (Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Romania and Slovakia) for the period 2000 to 2015. The results show that the expectations for the financial situation of households over the next 12 months and the level of employment have a stimulating effect on the business cycle of final consumption expenditure of households. The expectations for unemployment, inflation and savings over the next 12 months have a negative impact on the business cycles.

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  Opportunities to Improve the Portfolio Performance Based on Dividend Strategies and Equity Home Bias

  The article examines the equity home bias puzzle and the "Dogs of the Dow" dividend strategy under conditions of the Bulgarian capital market. It was found out that local investors hold 74.1% of their portfolios in domestic stocks, although ICAPM suggests weight of 0.007%, and the "Dogs of the Dow" strategy generates annual risk-adjusted ... The article examines the equity home bias puzzle and the "Dogs of the Dow" dividend strategy under conditions of the Bulgarian capital market. It was found out that local investors hold 74.1% of their portfolios in domestic stocks, although ICAPM suggests weight of 0.007%, and the "Dogs of the Dow" strategy generates annual risk-adjusted hyper-profitability of 11.18%. Following the dividend strategy, combined with good international diversification provides good opportunities to improve portfolio performance.

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  Guidelines for Analysing the Financial Statements of Bulgarian Publicly Traded Insurance Companies

  Financial statements provide information necessary to analyse and assess the financial position of publicly traded companies. Information users include a wide range of entities, such as creditors, suppliers, customers, investors, external control bodies, etc. This paper promotes the thesis that the information disclosed in financial statements ... Financial statements provide information necessary to analyse and assess the financial position of publicly traded companies. Information users include a wide range of entities, such as creditors, suppliers, customers, investors, external control bodies, etc. This paper promotes the thesis that the information disclosed in financial statements helps investors in their decision to invest in the shares of publicly traded companies. A precise analysis of financial statements may result in a decision to purchase, not to purchase, or to sell some of the stocks of the companies which are subject to analysis. The article focuses on publicly traded companies in the insurance sector.